Deforestation and environmental imbalance in the Amazon
Evaluation of the COPAÍBAS Program
Development of Impact Indicators on Deforestation and Fires in the Implementation Areas of the COPAÍBAS Program – Funbio
The COPAÍBAS Program is a Funbio initiative aimed at reducing deforestation and, consequently, greenhouse gas emissions by supporting the conservation of forests and native vegetation in the Cerrado and Amazon biomes, while also improving the living conditions of Indigenous peoples and traditional communities. While the activities targeting Protected Areas and Indigenous territories have clearly defined boundaries, the productive activities related to socio-biodiversity extend over territories with less precise spatial delimitation. In this context, this project is dedicated to adapting and applying methodologies to estimate indicators of deforestation, fires, and avoided emissions, both in well-defined areas and in those with more complex boundaries.
METHODOLOGY
The definition of appropriate indicators to measure the impact of the COPAÍBAS Program on deforestation and wildfires requires a rigorous methodological approach, tailored to the specific characteristics of the intervention areas. We propose three complementary evaluation methods that, together, will provide a comprehensive and robust assessment of the program’s impacts:
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Trend estimation approach using regression models before and after the implementation of the COPAÍBAS Program.
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Counterfactual or quasi-experimental approach.
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Adjusted Odds Ratio estimation approach.
These methods will be applied considering the specific characteristics of each category of area supported by the program (Protected Areas, Indigenous Lands, and sociobiodiversity value chains), enabling a contextualized and differentiated analysis.
RESULTS
Shortly.